Publication
Article
The American Journal of Managed Care
Author(s):
Effective preventive treatments, early critical care, and multi-disciplinary rehabilitative strategies for stroke will reduce the national expenditure for stroke-related healthcare services.
Background: Stroke is an expensive disease from a patient, caregiver, and societal perspective. In spite of the high cost burden, only limited numbers of recent studies have focused on stroke-related costs in the United States.
Objective: To conduct a systematic literature review to determine current US costs of stroke and to assess if a gap in available information exists.
Methods: A literature search was conducted using the PubMed/MEDLINE and Ovid/EMBASE databases, within the date range of January 1995 to July 2008. The search, screening, application of eligibility criteria, appraisal, data extraction, and synthesis were completed by one investigator and then inde-pendently confirmed by a second.
Results: The literature review revealed that the majority of cost-related analyses focused on short-term in-hospital care and early critical care as the key drivers of acute ischemic stroke hospitalization costs. Moreover, long-term medical expenses resulting from nursing home and ambulatory care as well as indirect expenditure from lost earnings and informal care represent the most significant burden on lifetime costs of stroke.
Conclusions: Further studies that focus on these long-term and indirect expenditures are essential to assess the impact of new treatments on total stroke costs. Overall, the high costs associated with stroke clearly indicate there is an imperative need for effective preventive therapy, early critical care, and rehabilitation, which in turn will reduce the national expenditure for stroke-related healthcare services and improve productivity.
(Am J Manag Care. 2010;16(7):525-533)
A systematic review of the literature was done to determine the overall costs of stroke in the United States, with a focus on ischemic stroke, which accounts for the bulk of the costs.
Stroke is one of the most significant health problems in the United States. In 2005, the prevalence of stroke was 5.8 million among adults age 20 years and older.1Given that the majority of strokes occur in the elderly (age >65 years), the prevalence of stroke is expected to increase dramatically with the lengthening of life expectancy and advancing age of our population. Approximately 780,000 strokes occur each year and of these, 600,000 are first attacks.1Stroke is the third leading cause of death behind heart disease and cancer and the leading cause of serious long-term disability.1 In 2004, stroke accounted for approximately 1 of every 16 deaths.1 Among all strokes, 87% are ischemic, 10% are intracerebral hemorrhage, and 3% are subarachnoid hemorrhage.1 Stroke imposes a significant economic burden on our healthcare system, with acute ischemic stroke accounting for the bulk of costs. Total direct and indirect cost resulting from stroke has been reported to be more than $65 billion for 2008 alone.1 Direct cost encompasses all expenditures from hospitalization, nursing homes, physicians and other healthcare professionals, drugs and other medical durables, and home healthcare, whereas indirect cost accounts for lost productivity due to morbidity or mortality. Stroke can be ranked among the most expensive chronic diseases such as cancer ($219.2 billion in 2007), diabetes ($174 billion in 2007), and depression ($83.1 billion in 2000).2-4
Despite the high financial burden, limited recent studies have focused on costs associated with stroke in the United States. Establishing total stroke-related costs is essential to evaluate and support the health economic research on stroke systems of care. The present article provides a systematic review of the literature to determine the overall costs of stroke in the United States, with a focus on ischemic stroke when costs are specified by subtype.
METHODS
Literature Search
Full-text papers were identified on the basis of a literature search in PubMed/MEDLINE and Ovid/EMBASE databases from January 1995 to July 2008. The terms used for the electronic search included [ischemic stroke and costs and cost analysis] or [ischemic stroke and economics] or [ischemic stroke and hospital charges] or [ischemic stroke and fees] or [ischemic stroke and reimbursement] or [ischaemic stroke and costs and cost analysis] or [ischaemic stroke and economics] or [ischaemic stroke and hospital charges] or [ischaemic stroke and fees] or [ischaemic stroke and reimbursement] and not atrial fibrillation and not hypertension. Even though the search focused on ischemic stroke, articles that did not specify stroke type were not excluded. We limited the search to titles and abstracts of human studies conducted in the United States and published in English. Search strategy development, searching, screening, application of criteria, selection, appraisal, data extraction, and synthesis were completed by at least 2 investigators. Disagreements were resolved by consensus.
Exclusion Criteria
Title and abstract content exclusion criteria were (1) disease areas other than stroke, (2) focus on stroke prevention, (3) focus on nonadult patients, (4) focus other than cost of illness, and (5) country of origin outside the United States. Additionally, articles were excluded when the content of the publication (6) had a focus other than cost of illness or (7) lacked quantitative methods.
Quality Assessment of Publications
Figure 1
Several instruments are designed for critical appraisal of economic analyses.5,6 In the current literature review, the selected publications were assessed with the SIGN grading system, which provides levels of evidence and grades of recommendation for evidence-based clinical guidelines.6 The study type combined with an assessment of methodologic quality determines the level of evidence.6 Systematic reviews, meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials, and randomized controlled trials rank above nonrandomized interventional and observational studies, whereas nonexperimental studies and expert opinion are ranked at the bottom ().6 Based on this hierarchy, a level of evidence of 1++ applies to high-quality meta-analyses, systematic reviews of randomized controlled trials, or randomized controlled trials with a very low risk of bias, while a level of evidence of 4 applies to an expert opinion.6 In the final step, a grade of recommendation (A through D) is assigned to each study or recommendation based on the level of evidence as follows:
• Grade A. At least 1 meta-analysis, systematic review, or randomized controlled trial rated as 1++ and directly applicable to the target population, or a systematic review of randomized controlled trials or a body of evidence consisting largely of 1+ related studies directly applicable to the target population and demonstrating overall consistency of results.
• Grade B. A body of evidence, including 2+ rated studies directly applicable to the target population and demonstrating overall consistency of results or extrapolated evidence from 1++ or 1+ rated studies.
• Grade C. A body of evidence, including 2+ rated studies directly applicable to the target population and demonstrating overall consistency of results or extrapolated evidence from 2++ rated studies.
• Grade D. Evidence level 3 or 4 or extrapolated evidence from 2+ rated studies.6
RESULTS
Search Yield and Quality Assessment
Figure 2
A total of 417 potential abstracts were identified; 408 from MEDLINE via PubMed and 9 from EMBASE via Ovid. Of the 417 abstracts, 368 were excluded due to the aforementioned title and abstract content exclusion criteria 1-5 (). Of the 49 publications pulled for further investigation, 26 were excluded because of publication content exclusion criteria 6 and 7. Thus, of the 417 abstracts that were initially selected from the literature searchusing the PubMed/MEDLINE and Ovid/EMBASE databases, 23 articles met the inclusion criteria and were chosen for this study. One additional publication by the American Heart Association and 7 additional publications from cross-references based on the title were added to the list. Ofthe 7 additional publications, 3 were excluded because of the publication content exclusion criteria 6 and 7. Overall, a total of 28 articles were considered appropriate to be included in the present analysis. Of the 28 articles, 8 were published after 2005. A majority of the selected publications focused on direct costs, 5 of the 28 publications addressed aggregate or indirect costs, 3 addressed hospital resources, and 7 addressed medical resource use.Among the publications that focused on direct costs, there was a greater emphasis on emergency and short-term care, and less emphasis on outpatient, rehabilitation, and nursing home care.
In terms of quality assessment, 17 publications were assigned a grade B recommendation, 8 were assigned grade C, and 3 were assigned grade D, indicating an overall “moderate” rating. A high level of evidence or a grade A recommendation is typically not expected for economic studies because the randomized controlled trial design is not always practical and these studies are more likely to be retrospective or prospective claims analyses, cohort studies, or case reports.6
Costs of Stroke in the United States
Figure 3
The total cost of stroke encompasses direct costs for providing medical care to patients as well as indirectcosts associated with lost productivity.7A breakdown of direct costs by type of expense as reported by Lee and colleagues and Taylor and colleagues is provided in .7,8
Table 1
Short-Term Direct Costs. Most cost-analysis studies conducted thus far have focused on short-term, in-hospital costs of stroke ().9-22 The majority of these studies are retrospective analyses of different inpatient care databases, and there is considerable variation in patient numbers among these studies. For example, a study by Diringer and colleagues15 included 191 patients consecutively admitted with acute ischemic stroke at a tertiary care academic medical center in 1996, whereas Qureshi and colleagues10 analyzed data of more than a million patients from the Nationwide Inpatient Survey with stroke admissions from 1990 to 1991 or 2000 to 2001.When converted to 2008 dollars, the mean hospitalization costs ranged from $8000 to $23,000. Mean length of hospital stay ranged from 4.6 to 12.4 days.
eAppendix A
Early critical care has been identified as a key driver of acute ischemic stroke hospitalization costs. In a report by Demaerschalk and Durocher,23 early critical care accounted for nearly one-third of the total expenditure for the short-term inpatient stay of patients who received recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) therapy for ischemic stroke (, available at www.ajmc.com).Other major expenses were distributed as follows: 19% for medical-surgical short-term care services, 19% for radiology, 8% for rehabilitation therapies, 7% for pharmacy, and 7% for laboratory.23These results were in agreement with the breakdown provided by Diringer and colleagues,15 wherein 50% of hospital costs for acute ischemic stroke were attributed to room charges (34% for ward beds, 16% for intensive care unit beds), 19% for diagnostic radiology, 7% for short-term rehabilitation therapy, 5% for laboratory tests, and 5% for pharmacy.
Long-Term Direct Costs. Table 2 presents a summary of studies reporting average per patient direct costs of stroke in the longer term (ie, more than 30 days poststroke).24-26 A large number of these studies were retrospective analyses of a sample of Medicare patients hospitalized for ischemic stroke. The outcomes measured varied considerably among these studies. For example, Kind and colleagues24 analyzed 1-year mortality and predicted total healthcare payments for 30 to 365 days after acute stroke hospitalization; Lee and colleagues8 calculated costs from 1 year prior to the index event through 4 years following that event; Lipscomb and colleagues26 measured Medicare costs for each month (up to 36 months) following discharge from the index hospitalization; and Leibson and colleagues20 assessed inpatient and outpatient short-term care activity for the 12 months before and after stroke.
In the study by Leibson and colleagues,20 total inpatient and outpatient charges during the 12-month poststroke period were reported to be 3.4 times higher than those in the 12-month prestroke period. The analyses by Samsa and colleagues,14 Lipscomb and colleagues,26 and Sloss and colleagues25 have shown that the total stroke-related costs are highest during months 1 to 3 after a stroke. Taylor and colleagues7 reported direct cost of ischemic stroke per person during the first year in 1990 of approximately $15,102 to $20,574, depending on age. Fagan and colleagues16 estimated a mean cost (converted to 1996 dollars) nearing $30,000 for year 1 and approximately $60,000 as total cost (ie, short-term plus long-term care for the treatment of patients with acute ischemic stroke). Lee and colleagues8 reported an average Medicare expenditure of $39,396 (in 1997 dollars) from the initial event through 4 years in patients identified as having acute ischemic stroke. These data emphasize the need for effective preventive and early critical care.8
Indirect Costs. The majority of lifetime costs for each type of stroke results from indirect costs. Indirectcosts are a result of premature mortalityand reduced productivity for stroke survivors.7 In the study by Taylor and colleagues,7 indirect costs accounted for 58% ($23.6 billion) of lifetime stroke costs in the United States. Lost earnings owing to premature mortality accountedfor 56% of total indirect costs, and the remainder was a result of lost earnings for stroke survivors.7A cost analysis study by Brown and colleagues27 provided a projected breakdown of indirect costs (lost earnings and informal care) as well as direct costs caused by ischemic stroke (from 2005 to 2050) in non-Hispanic whites, African Americans, and Hispanics. Informal care refers to in-home assistance with activities of daily living as provided by a relative or unpaid nonrelative not associated with an organization.28 The single largest contributor to overall costs in all race/ethnic groups was lost earnings (33%, 43%, and 30%, respectively), and the second largest contributor to overall costs was informal caregiving (19%, 16%, and 19%).27
eAppendix B
Aggregate Lifetime Costs. The US aggregate lifetime cost of first strokes was estimated to be $40.6 billion by Taylor and colleagues in 1990,7 with ischemic stroke accounting for $29 billion. Short-term care costs incurred in the first 2 years after a stroke (45%), long-term ambulatory care (35%), and nursing home costs (17.5%) constituted the major expenditure groups.7 The mean lifetime cost of ischemic stroke was estimated at nearly $91,000 in 1990 dollars.7 Lifetime cost of stroke per person was calculated as thesum of direct and indirect costs, while aggregate lifetime cost of strokewas calculated by multiplying the per personlifetime cost by the estimated incidence of first strokes in 1990.7 TheAmerican Heart Association estimated the direct medical and indirect expenditures attributable to stroke in 2008 as $65.5 billion and the mean lifetime cost of ischemic stroke, which included inpatient care, rehabilitation, and follow-up care, as $140,048 (converted to 1999 dollars).1 Brown and colleagues27 projected the US costs of ischemic stroke from 2005 to 2050 (in 2005 dollars) to be approximately $2.2 trillion; $1.52 trillion for non-Hispanic whites, $313 billion for Hispanics, and $379 billion for African Americans. The projected proportion of indirect and direct costs of ischemic stroke by ethnic group is presented the , available at www.ajmc.com.27The proposed figures likely underestimate the true burden of stroke, because the estimates do not take into account the rise in salaries and treatment costs, growth among minority populations, and the increase in risk factors for stroke such as obesity, diabetes, and heart disease.
DISCUSSION
It should be noted that the SIGN grading system was used in this literature review to rank economic studies, although it was designed to grade levels of evidence and evidence-based clinical studies and as such may not be a reliable instrument for assessing economic studies. Nonetheless, stroke presents a substantial burden on the healthcare system as well as on patients, family, and society.7 The majority of the literature addressing stroke-related costs focuses on short-term, in-hospital expenditures, with costs ranging from approximately $8000 to $23,000 (adjusted to 2008 dollars), depending on the length of hospital stay. Also, the literature search did not identify studies that determined the cost of stroke rehabilitation care. In contrast, there is a relative scarcity of quality studies focusing on the long-term components of direct stroke-related medical expenses, which are substantial. For example, in the study by Taylor and colleagues,7 long-term ambulatory care accounted for 35% and nursing homecosts accounted for 17.5% of total direct costs of stroke. In 1990 alone, there were more than 100,000 stroke-related nursing home admissions with a mean length of stay of 432 days,7 and in 1993 the annual cost for nursing home care based on a study of long-term care US insurers was $20,000 to $50,000.16These data emphasize the need for further studies that would examine the long-term components of stroke-related medical costs. Additionally, almost all of the studies citing short-term and long-term costs were from the 1990s, highlighting the need for more current data on the costs of stroke.
Those long-term expenses are estimated to be substantial. Assuming 3% yearly inflation from 2008, total direct and indirect costs of stroke in the United States would be $108 billion in 2025,1 and per the cost-analyses study by Brown and colleagues,27 the total cost of stroke from 2005 to 2050 is projected to be $2.2 trillion. These cost projections for stroke are comparable to those for other high-impact chronic diseases such as cancer and cardiovascular disease. The annual productivity loss from cancer mortality is projected to be $308 billion in 2020, while the cost associated with cancer-related deaths is expected to be $1.47 trillion in 2020.29,30The total cost of heart disease is projected to be $149 billion in 2025.31
Direct and indirect costs associated with stroke can be reduced by wider utilization of improved strategies for stroke care. rt-PA (Activase), approved in 1996 by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), has remained the only FDA-approved drug that is indicated for improving neurologic recovery and reducing the incidence of disability in adults with acute ischemic stroke.32 Additionally, there have been numerous cost-effectiveness studies of rt-PA, including that by Fagan and colleagues,16 which showed a decrease in rehabilitation costs of $1.4 million and nursing home costs of $4.8 million per 1000 eligible rt-PA—treated patients. More recently, other improved treatment strategies include the establishment of primary stroke centers and stroke center matrices that encompass multidisciplinary specialized stroke teams,33-35 stroke telemedicine via state-of-the-art video telecommunications and Internet-based consultative modalities for healthcare professionals and patients mainly in underserved urban and rural areas,36-39 and expansion of the rt-PA treatment time window.40 However, further studies are required to quantify the cost-effectiveness or cost savings of these interventions independently, and when combined in regional strategies and community networks of stroke care.
Acknowledgments We gratefully acknowledge Shilpa Lalchandani, PhD, Embryon, for assistance with the revisions and further development of the manuscript based on critical comments and direction from all authors; Susan Hogan, PhD, Embryon, for reviewing the manuscript for scientific accuracy; and Vicki Blasberg, Embryon, for managing the coordination of manuscript development and submission.
Author Affiliations: From the Department of Neurology (BMD), Mayo Clinic Hospital, Phoenix, AZ; and Genentech, Inc (HMH, GL), South San Francisco, CA.
Funding Source: Genentech, Inc, South San Francisco, CA, provided funding for editorial assistance to Embryon for editing, proofreading, and reference verification.
Author Disclosure: Dr Demaerschalk is the principal investigator (PI) for STRokE DOC AZ TIME (Arizona Department of Health Service [ADHS]) and Stroke Telemedicine for Arizona Rural Residents (ADHS); the site PI for Interventional Management of Stroke III (IMS III; National Institutes of Health [NIH]), Stenting and Aggressive Medical Management for Preventing Recurrent Stroke (SAMMPRIS; NIH), Secondary Pre-vention of Small Subcortical Strokes (SPS3; NIH), Carotid Revascularization Endarterectomy vs. Stenting Trial (CREST; NIH), Randomized Evaluation of Recurrent Stroke Comparing PFO Closure to Established Current Standard of Care Treatment (RESPECT; AGA Medical Corpora-tion), V10153 Acute Stroke Thrombolysis Trial (VASTT; Vernalis), Ancrod Stroke Program (ASP, Neurobiological Technology), and MP-124-A07 Trial (Mitsubishi Pharma); a co-investigator for ALbumin In Acute Stroke (ALIAS; NIH), CHOICE (Abbott), and ACT I (Abbott); a steering commit-tee member for SPS3, ASP, and VASTT; a Data Safety Monitoring Board member for IN-STEP (Vernalis); medical monitor for Neuralieve; and an event adjudicator for Axio Research. He reports no other consultancies, honoraria, speaker bureau memberships, employment relationships, or stocks. Ms Leung is an employee of Genentech, the company that funded this work. Dr Hwang was an employee of Genentech at the time this study was developed. She is now with the University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA. The opinions expressed in the current article are those of the authors. The authors received no honoraria or other form of financial support re-lated to the development of this manuscript.
Authorship Information: Concept and design (BMD, HMH, GL); acquisition of data (BMD, HMH, GL); analysis and interpretation of data (BMD, HMH, GL); drafting of the manuscript (BMD, GL); and critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content (BMD, HMH, GL).
Address correspondence to: Bart M. Demaerschalk, MD, MSc, FRCP(C), Department of Neurology, Mayo Clinic Hospital, 5777 E Mayo Blvd, Phoenix, AZ 85054. E-mail: demaerschalk.bart@mayo.edu.
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